For the first four weeks of the 2008 NFL season, I made my predictions on a straight-up basis. Looking at each matchup, I just selected the team that I thought would come out on top. The first couple of weeks were a bit of challenge, but I’ve done quite well for myself in Week 3 and Week 4 in the National Football League. The main predictions that I got wrong in those weeks were surprises to most people, including the first loss suffered by the Dallas Cowboys.
Following a comment on my Week 4 Results post by Skitzzo, I’ve decided that my NFL Week 5 picks will go against the spread rather than just “straight up and down picks.” The Week 5 point spreads used below came from Vegas.com, derived from the current betting lines used by Caesars-Hilton.
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Spread: Indy by 2.5
Thoughts: Peyton Manning still has something to prove and the Texans aren’t going to put up that much of a fight. I’m surprised the spread is so small.
Prediction: Colts
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Spread: Titans by 2.5
Thoughts: Baltimore is solid, but I foresee Tennessee continuing its undefeated season. Forget about Vince Young; it’s all about veteran Kerry Collins
Prediction: Titans
San Diego Chargers at Miami Dolphins
Spread: Chargers by 6.5
Thoughts: The Chargers are finally getting back to their old form, but the Dolphins really surprised the Pats last week. Too bad Miami’s success was just a freak of nature, never to replicated again.
Prediction: Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs at Carolina Panthers
Spread: Panthers by 9.5
Thoughts: Daylight come and me wan’ DELHOMME! Carolina is just too much for the Chef Chiefs to handle. Winning by 10 points is a bit of a stretch, but I think Carolina will cover.
Prediction: Panthers
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Spread: Eagles by 5.5
Thoughts: Donovan McNabb is doing quite well for himself, but Washington QB Jason Campbell, to my knowledge, has yet to have a turnover this year. The Redskins are on one killer streak, having only lost one game. Even if they lose, it’ll be close and Philly won’t cover the spread.
Prediction: Redskins
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions
Spread: Bears by 3.5
Thoughts: The Lions have yet to win a game this season. Forget about winning this one too.
Prediction: Bears
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
Spread: Even
Thoughts:Aaron Rodgers has shown that he has the potential to be a solid Brett Favre successor, but he may or may not play this game due to a shoulder injury. This is a tough one, but I’m going with Atlanta.
Prediction: Falcons
Seattle Seahawks at New York Giants
Spread: Giants by 6.5
Thoughts: The Seattle Seahawks are one of the most over-rated teams in the league. Aside from the one year where they made the Super Bowl (“We’ll take the ball, and we gonna score!” How’s that interception feeling, Hasselback?), they’ve shown little glimmer of promise. The Giants are defending Super Bowl champions and are undefeated this year. Easy pick.
Prediction: Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Denver Broncos
Spread: Broncos by 2.5
Thoughts: Although Brian Griese is doing some wonderful things in Tampa, his old team is going to stomp on him this week. Cutler is coming together and Shahahan’s got a gutsy playbook too.
Prediction: Broncos
New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers
Spread: Patriots by 3.5
Thoughts: The Pats of New England are a shadow of their former selves, but the Niners are a hopeless cause.
Prediction: Patriots
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals
Spread: Cards by 0.5
Thoughts: Yeah, Kurt Warner’s nabbed a couple of wins in Arizona, but the surprise Buffalo Bills are undefeated. They’ve got the winning formula.
Prediction: Bills
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys by 16.5
Thoughts: Dallas may not be able to get a perfect season, but they’re still heavy favorites to make it to the Super Bowl. The Bengals have largely been a flop this year. Even so, covering 16.5 points is pretty tough against any team. It pains me to say this, but I don’t think the Cowboys will cover the spread.
Prediction: Bengals
Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Spread: Jacksonville by 3.5
Thoughts: I hear that Big Ben Roethlisberger is going to be a game day decision and that’s the factor that is tearing me apart for this prediction. If Ben plays, I think the Steelers will win. If he sits, the Jags will probably win. I hope he plays.
Prediction: Steelers
Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints
Spread: Saints by 3.5
Thoughts: Drew Brees and Reggie Bush are starting to mesh, whereas the Vikings are continuing to stink. I don’t think Monday Night Football will be a very exciting this week.
Prediction: Saints
With Roma guiding the team and TO stirring up controversy we definitely will be going to the Super Bowl. Chad Johnson will be too busy running his mouth so I don’t see why we wouldn’t cover that spread adn the some.
Ocho Cinco! Realistically, Terrell runs his mouth just as much as Chad, so they don’t really differ on that front.
Hmmm, doesn’t look like you bucked the spreads too much…even though I’m not a huge sports fanatic and pretty much only watch the hightlights, I do like this format better than just saying what team you think is going to win or lose. You could have just as easily done this without the spread, but either way it makes the post more interesting to read.
There were a few picks where the spread definitely came into play. I knew that Dallas was going to win, but I felt it unlikely that they’d win by 17 or more. The Philly-Wash game was also difficult, so I picked the Redskins seeing how even if Philly won by a field goal, I’d still be right. That and most of the spreads were under a touchdown, so they didn’t really come into play for most of my decisions.